The pace of adjustment and revitalization of key industries such as equipment manufacturing is accelerating
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In the past year, the tracking and monitoring data of the China Economics Industry Climate Index showed that in 2009, China's steel, equipment manufacturing, petrochemical, textile and other key industries rebounded faster, the industry's economic conditions continued to improve, and various operational indicators improved significantly. The growth momentum has gradually increased, and the overall recovery has become clear.
The China Economics Industry Climate Index was jointly launched by the Economic Daily News Center and the National Economic Situation Monitoring Center of the National Bureau of Statistics. It aims to track and monitor the operation of key industries in the national economy, and to forecast the development trend of the industry. The accurate prediction of influence determines the data product brand of the industry development trend.
According to the analysis of the person in charge of the China Economic and Industrial Index Index Research Center of the Economic Daily, in 2009, China's equipment manufacturing, home appliances and other key industries were better than expected due to three aspects: First, the central government timely issued a package to deal with the impact of the international financial crisis. Plans and policy measures have enabled China to take the lead in achieving the overall economic recovery in the world. Second, a series of industrial policies such as the adjustment and revitalization of key industries and the “home appliances to the countryside†have clearly defined the direction for the industry to cope with the international financial crisis. Support; the third is that industry enterprises actively implement relevant industrial policies, fully meet the challenges, and strive to improve the level of development.
The economy continues to improve Since the first release in April 2009, the industry tracking and monitoring of the China Economics Industry Index has increased quarter by quarter and has now expanded to eight industries. In these industries, the equipment manufacturing industry as a basic and strategic industry of the national economy, its industry boom situation is particularly interesting.
According to the monitoring results of the China Economics Industry Climate Index, in 2009, the equipment manufacturing industry reached a high growth level in the fourth quarter after a sharp decline in the first quarter, a steady recovery in the second quarter, and an accelerated recovery in the third quarter. In the fourth quarter, the economic prosperity index of the equipment manufacturing industry was 99.7 points (the standard of the economy was 100 points), which rose for three consecutive quarters. The industry's operation was basically close to the normal level of the economy. The production scale of the enterprise has gradually expanded, and the willingness to increase production has been strengthened. The rapid growth momentum is expected to continue in the first quarter of 2010.
The industry in the equipment manufacturing industry generally believes that in 2009, driven by the “Equipment Manufacturing Adjustment and Revitalization Plan†and other related policies, the equipment manufacturing industry seized policy opportunities and reversed the sharp decline in orders, business income reduction, and economy. The situation of a significant decline in efficiency has turned into a rising channel of continuous recovery, sharp recovery and rapid growth.
In response to the international financial crisis, in early 2009, the state began to develop the ten key points of automobile, steel, textile, equipment manufacturing, shipbuilding, electronic information, light industry, petrochemical, non-ferrous metals and logistics. The industrial adjustment and revitalization plan respectively proposed hundreds of policy measures and implementation rules, which played an important role in maintaining the steady and rapid development of the national economy. With the gradual implementation of policy measures, the downward trend of key industries has been curbed, and the overall stability has rebounded.
In 2009, not only did the industry boom in the equipment manufacturing industry achieve a bright “V†shape rebound, but the recovery rate and operating conditions of other key industries monitored by the China Economics Industry Climate Index were also better than expected.
The main economic indicators such as production, sales, profits and investment in the household appliance industry have grown in an all-round way, and the upward trend is strong. In the petrochemical industry, various indicators of the petroleum industry have rebounded steadily, the economy has continued to improve, and the chemical industry has recovered significantly. The overall prosperity of the textile industry has continued to rise. Most indicators showed positive changes; the steel industry began to show recovery growth, and the overall economic situation in 2010 is expected to continue to rise.
Endogenous growth motivation enhances the economic prosperity index of the China Economics Industry. In the process of preparation, the “hyperbolic†prosperity index compilation method is innovatively adopted. The red curve is used to mark the seasonal factors, and the prosperity index value after the random factors is retained. The curve indicates that after removing the seasonal factors, the value of the prosperity index of the random factor is further removed. Through the calculation method of hyperbolic curve, the economic prosperity index of China Economics can more clearly reflect the influence and effect of random factors such as policy measures on industrial development, and make a better judgment and grasp on the development trend of the industry itself.
According to the monitoring of relevant industries by the China Economics Industry Climate Index, in the first half of 2009, strong policy measures have played a significant role in driving the operation of key industries, and played a role in curbing the decline and stabilizing the industry; starting from the second half of 2009, The endogenous growth drivers of key industries have gradually increased, and the ability to withstand risks has been further enhanced. In the fourth quarter of 2009, the monitoring results of the China Economics Industry Climate Index showed that after further eliminating random factors such as policies, equipment manufacturing and home appliances industries continued to maintain strong growth momentum.
Accelerating structural adjustment is a common requirement for the adjustment and revitalization of various key industries. In 2009, China's key industries eliminated the backward production capacity, the enterprise restructuring progressed steadily, and the technological progress of enterprises accelerated significantly.
The steel industry has accelerated the pace of mergers and acquisitions, technological transformation, and elimination of backward production capacity. In 2009, China's crude steel production capacity exceeded 10 million tons, and the number of large steel enterprises reached 9; the backward steelmaking and ironmaking capacity were 16.91 million tons and 21.13 million tons respectively.
The petrochemical industry has accelerated the layout adjustment, and the self-sufficiency rate of products such as polyethylene and polypropylene has been continuously improved. In 2009, the calcium carbide industry eliminated 470,000 tons of backward production capacity and the proportion of ion-exchange membrane caustic soda reached 53%, an increase of 9 percentage points over 2008.
In addition, the process of mergers and acquisitions in the industries of machinery, automobiles, nonferrous metals and electronic information is also accelerating.
Accelerate the development mode and change the monitoring report of the China Economics Industry Climate Index. As the overall economic situation continues to improve and the effects of key industry adjustment and revitalization plans become more apparent, the production and operation indicators of key industries will continue to rise in 2010, and the industry will continue to operate. Will continue to be in the ascending channel.
At the same time, key industries and enterprises should also clearly understand that implementing key industry adjustment and revitalization plans is a long-term task, and the results achieved so far are only preliminary and staged.
The State Council executive meeting held recently pointed out that in the face of the new situation of environmental changes at home and abroad, we must firmly grasp the key points of adjusting the structure and transforming the development mode, further increase efforts, enrich and improve policy measures, and accelerate institutional and institutional innovation. We will implement and implement industrial adjustment and revitalization plans, and strive to achieve new breakthroughs in improving the quality and efficiency of industrial development.
The reporter learned from relevant industry associations that this year's major key industries will firmly grasp the key links of expanding domestic demand, optimizing layout, eliminating backward production capacity, mergers and acquisitions, energy conservation and emission reduction, and technological transformation, and will do a good job in the relevant work. Promote change in development and seek development in transformation.
The petrochemical industry will combine the elimination of backward production capacity with the cultivation of strategic emerging industries, establish a mechanism for the withdrawal of excess capacity, and accelerate the cultivation of strategic emerging industries such as new chemical materials, new fields of fine chemicals, new medicines and environmental protection. At the same time, it will promote technological progress and technological innovation in the industry, vigorously develop circular economy and low-carbon economy, and realize further adjustment and revitalization of the industry.
The textile industry will accelerate the transfer from the eastern region to the central and western regions, and take the opportunity of industrial transfer as an opportunity to accelerate the industrial upgrading and accelerate the recovery of the textile economy, thereby achieving healthy and sustainable development.