"China Power Emissions Reduction Research 2011" released today in Beijing

The “China Power Emissions Reduction Research 2011” completed by the China Electricity Council and the American Environmental Protection Association was published today in Beijing. The series of "Research on China's Electric Power Emissions Reductions" series has been issued for five consecutive years. It aims to grasp the status and priorities of the development of the electric power industry and the control of air pollutant emissions from coal-fired power plants, and to predict future trends.

The report is divided into three parts: The first part fully reflects the development of China's power industry in 2010, air pollutant emission control of coal-fired power plants, and the introduction of relevant regulations and policies for energy-saving and emission reduction since 2010. According to statistics, as of the end of 2010, the country’s total installed power generation and power generation reached 966 million kilowatts and 4.23 trillion kwh, respectively, a year-on-year increase of 10.56% and 14.85%; of which, the installed capacity of major non-fossil energy sources such as hydropower, nuclear power, and wind power reached 2.57 billion kilowatts, accounting for approximately 26.57% of China's total installed capacity, and non-fossil energy generating capacity reached 0.81 trillion kwh, accounting for approximately 19.19% of the total electricity generation.

China's power industry is dominated by coal-fired power, and coal-fired power generation accounts for approximately 76% of all power generation. It is one of the key sectors for CO2 emission reduction. China is in a critical stage of rapid development of industrialization and urbanization. The rapid increase in power demand, ensuring adequate power supply, safe and stable supply is the primary responsibility of the power industry. Development is still the primary task of China's power industry and must be under the premise of development. And solve the problem of climate change in the process of development. The electric power industry must raise awareness, pool consensus, and jointly respond, and contribute to achieving the country’s goal of reducing carbon dioxide emissions per unit of GDP from 2020 to 40% to 45% in 2005.

In the second part, based on the analysis of the necessity and constraint of the development of non-fossil energy in China, the case of TIMES model applied to energy system analysis is introduced. According to various aspects of research on power demand forecasting, China's power installation will nearly double within the next 10 years. This poses great challenges to China's current fossil-energy-based power systems and future non-fossil energy power generation technologies. In the future, the proportion of non-fossil energy will continue to increase, relying mainly on the development of hydropower and nuclear power. It is predicted that in 2020, non-fossil energy will account for about 80% of the total. At the same time, we should further optimize the development of thermal power generation, eliminate backward technologies, and replace them with advanced technologies.

The third part summarizes the general status and development trend of the power industry, and puts forward six policy recommendations for power development.

Looking ahead to the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan”, the emission reduction and control of pollutants in the power industry should continue to adhere to the control route that combines source control and end-of-pipe control, in order to achieve the national targets for conventional pollutants and greenhouse gas emission reductions, in policy, technology, Greater efforts are made in management, marketing and international cooperation.