The company has been advised to strictly control the production of the 12th Five-Year Plan

"According to the recommendations of the China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association for the development of the 12th Five-Year Plan for the non-ferrous metals industry, by 2015, the output of ten non-ferrous metals should be controlled within 41 million tons. The non-ferrous metal industry during the '12th Five-Year' period It should be based on the needs of the domestic market, and the total amount should be controlled. Do not make big progress."

This is the information disclosed by Shang Fushan, vice president of the China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association, to the reporter of the “First Financial Daily” at the recent “China Nonferrous Metals Summit and Shanghai Nonferrous Metals Annual Meeting”.

With the release of the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” of the state and various regions, the formulation of the “Twelfth Five-Year” development ideas of various industries has also been put on the agenda. Shang Fushan told this reporter that the “Non-ferrous Metal Industry Association is responsible for the research” The 2nd Five-Year Plan has been reported to the relevant state departments, and specific proposals have been made for the relevant plans for the non-ferrous metals industry during the 12th Five-Year Plan period. The first and foremost point is to effectively control the total amount.

Strictly control expansion
According to the proposal submitted by the Nonferrous Metals Industry Association, during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” period, the crude copper smelting should be controlled within 5 million tons, the electrolytic copper should be controlled between 6.5 million and 7 million tons, and the alumina controlled within 41 million tons. The aluminum is controlled within 20 million tons; the lead is controlled within 5.5 million tons; the zinc smelting control is within 6.7 million tons, and all backward production capacity is eliminated in accordance with industrial technology policies.

It is worth noting that from the capacity and output expansion data of major non-ferrous metal products this year, if the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” really controls the quantity according to the above standards, the future smelting capacity expansion of non-ferrous metals such as copper, aluminum, lead and zinc will expand. The space will be quite limited.

According to the relevant statistics of the Bureau of Statistics, from January to October this year, the output of ten non-ferrous metals was 26.1377 million tons, an increase of 23.89%. From January to October this year, the non-ferrous metals industry (excluding independent gold enterprises) completed a total of 290.089 billion yuan in fixed assets investment, an increase of 37.54% over the same period of last year. The growth rate was 20.81 percentage points higher than that of the same period of last year, and the growth rate was higher than that of national urban fixed assets investment. 13.14 percentage points.

In this regard, the China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association estimates that the annual output will exceed 31 million tons. And if you follow this speed, the output will probably reach 670 million tons by 2015. According to estimates, the apparent consumption of ten non-ferrous metals in China in 2015 was about 43.8 million tons. Among them: 8.3 million tons of refined copper, 24 million tons of aluminum, 5 million tons of lead and 6.5 million tons of zinc.

Shang Fushan said that the purpose of controlling production is due to overcapacity of some varieties and shortage of raw materials. More prominent is electrolytic aluminum. Although the copper smelting capacity is not excessive, the crude copper smelting capacity has been greatly surplus relative to the self-produced copper concentrate, resulting in a significant reduction in the right to negotiate the import of copper concentrate.

Just like the lack of iron ore in the steel industry, the current low self-sufficiency rate of bulk mineral products has become a bottleneck restricting the development of the non-ferrous metals industry. According to the statistics of the Nonferrous Metals Industry Association, the amount of copper concentrate imported in 2009 was about 1.7 million tons, which was 1.77 times that of the self-production; the amount of imported lead concentrate metal was about 1 million tons, which was 0.88 times of the output. The amount of imported zinc concentrate metal is about 1.93 million tons, which is 0.62 times that of self-production.

Growth space
"At the same time as controlling production, the task of eliminating backward production capacity in the future is still arduous." Shang Fushan frankly said, "According to the requirements of the State Council documents, by the end of 2011, it is necessary to eliminate small electrolytic pre-grooves of 100 kA and below; , sintering pot, no tail gas absorption device lead smelting, small vertical tank zinc smelting and other backward production processes and equipment. Now large enterprises are eliminated as required, but some small businesses that often play guerrilla exchange places and some mainly rely on non-ferrous metals industry Local governments that generate income and solve employment are still facing difficulties, and the compensation mechanism has yet to be withdrawn."

Of course, while controlling the production of ordinary metals and eliminating backwardness, the non-ferrous metals industry also has other room for growth. Shang Fushan pointed out that during the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period, efforts should be made to increase the processing capacity. For example, industrial aluminum should be vigorously developed for use in higher-speed high-speed rails. In 2015, it should basically meet domestic demand. It will also upgrade the copper and aluminum processing industry in the Yangtze River Delta, Pearl River Delta and Bohai Rim, and build a high-precision copper and aluminum processing industrial base. At present, China's copper and aluminum processing has been a weakness for many years. No matter the variety or quality, it can not meet domestic demand and needs to be imported.

In addition, the development priorities of seven emerging industries, such as new energy vehicles, new materials, information, energy conservation and environmental protection, have also provided the direction and ideas for the non-ferrous metals industry, such as the development of high-performance copper, aluminum and magnesium. Alloy materials such as tungsten, molybdenum, niobium and tantalum; high-performance rare earth materials; high-performance precious metal materials; high-performance polysilicon, single crystal silicon materials; high-performance battery materials; superconducting materials.

Shang Fushan also revealed that during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” period, the recycling of recycled metals with the focus on dismantling and dismantling of non-ferrous metals was also the focus of industry support. "At present, the utilization level of renewable resources in China is still relatively low. Except for a few key enterprises, most enterprises have low level of technical equipment, low metal recovery rate, and serious pollution in the smelting process. This problem is most prominent in regenerative lead."

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